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How much of the AI buildout is debt the balance sheets do not show yet, and who carries it if a tenant walks away? Settles

Do the leases signed but not yet commenced that Alphabet, Amazon and Meta report as of December 31, 2026 in their Form 10-K for 2026, that Microsoft reports in its Form 10-Q for the quarter ended December 31, 2026, and that Oracle reports in its Form 10-Q for the quarter ended November 30, 2026, add up to more than $1.2 trillion?

Add, as printed and undiscounted, the amount each filing gives for leases that have not yet commenced: Alphabet, Amazon, Meta and Microsoft at December 31, 2026, and Oracle at November 30, 2026.

Source: SEC EDGAR, lease notes of the Form 10-K for 2026 of Alphabet (CIK 1652044), Amazon (CIK 1018724) and Meta Platforms (CIK 1326801), and of the Form 10-Q of Microsoft (CIK 789019) for December 31, 2026 and Oracle (CIK 1341439) for November 30, 2026

  • The lease is already debt Signed leases and guarantees are debt today, kept off the books to spare the ratings, on buildings that have no sublease market.
  • The cash flows cover it The tenants' cash businesses service the debt; a lab failure hits equity, not bonds, and guarantees are how deals this size clear.

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The Part On the Docket