Resolved October 19, 2026 · Why did the long end climb after the hike: growth, debt, or a missing buyer?
Did Japan's holdings of U.S. Treasury securities at the end of August 2026, in the Treasury International Capital table of major foreign holders published in mid-October, read higher than at the end of July 2026?
No. Japan's holdings of U.S. Treasury securities fell: $1,103.9B at end-July 2026, $1,068.3B at end-August 2026.
The reading
Compare Japan's August 2026 line with its July 2026 line in the same table. The answer is yes if the August figure is higher; no if it is equal or lower.
Source: U.S. Treasury, TIC Table 5: Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities (monthly text table) · The Result
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Edge vs the Call
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What it moved · 1 thesis
The chain
The Fed Hiked. The Long End Still Climbed. · Part 07
held A missing buyer · side record 1 held · 0 missed
weight 1 · the parent thesis
The map lit up · 1 sector
The map and the pulse
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