Part 15Oil stays out of the core
DeepValue Capital wrote on October 1 that rate hikes fight demand-led inflation while today's is supply-led, so no amount of tightening reopens the Strait of Hormuz.
Oil Is the Headline. The Real Yield Is the Bill.Person · DeepValue Capital by Kyler
DeepValue Capital
DeepValue Capital is named in 4 Parts of The Buildout, most recently Part 15: Oil Is the Headline. The Real Yield Is the Bill.. Argued in Part 15 (Oil stays out of the core).
What DeepValue Capital argued
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Part 15 · Oil stays out of the coreOct 1, 2026
Job growth is weak and housing is soft, and Jim Paulson makes a strong case that the Fed hiked based on rear-view mirror data; DeepValue Capital is not calling for a recession but is not ignoring the risk either.
Oil Is the Headline. The Real Yield Is the Bill. Who is on each side Source
Part 15 · Oil stays out of the coreSep 25, 2026
DeepValue Capital argues rising mortgage rates are already pressuring housing, the largest component (40%) of core CPI, creating big downward pressure on core CPI, while job growth has been weak enough historically to always be associated with…
Oil Is the Headline. The Real Yield Is the Bill. Who is on each side
In The Buildout
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Part 07AI meets the rate
Apollo, relayed by DeepValue Capital, assumes hyperscaler operating cash flow triples from $600 billion to $2 trillion, with OpenAI and Anthropic accounting for more than half of a $2.3 trillion backlog.
The Fed Hiked. The Long End Still Climbed.Part 07What settles it
DeepValue Capital reads inflation below 2% on a three-month annualized basis in August and calls oil from the closed Strait of Hormuz a supply shock no rate rise can fix.
The Fed Hiked. The Long End Still Climbed.Part 07What settles it
A negative payrolls print beside an inverted curve would, in DeepValue Capital’s reading, put recession six to 24 months out.
The Fed Hiked. The Long End Still Climbed.Part 06The rent will move
DeepValue Capital, relaying Comstock Resources leadership, puts new natural-gas demand from AI and data centers at 12 billion to 30 billion cubic feet a day by 2032, on top of LNG demand.
Power Doesn’t Depreciate. Its Premium Moves.Part 05Cheap intelligence arrives
Deepvalue Capital says Alibaba’s models passed 3bn downloads, ahead of Meta and Google, while compute stays tight and the price per token keeps falling.
OpenAI and Anthropic Are Not the Same Business
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