Readers

The readers’ table.

Signed-in readers with 5 or more resolved numbers, lowest mean Brier score first, each beside the Call on the same tests. Zero is perfect; 0.25 is what a coin flip earns. As of .

The Call, mean Brier score
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Not shown until ten resolved tests (0 so far)
The readers’ median, mean Brier score
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Not shown until ten resolved tests (0 so far)

The readers’ median and the Call have no resolved test in common yet.

No reader has 5 resolved numbers yet

The first readers appear once their numbers resolve, on the dates the Docket lists.

A reader appears here from 5 resolved numbers, under the pseudonym they chose; an address is never shown. The gap to the Call is the reader’s mean Brier score minus the Call’s on the tests both forecast: below zero, the reader did better. Calibration shows, for each band of ten points, the share of the reader’s numbers that came out yes; a calibrated reader’s bars climb along the diagonal.

Put your own number on a test The Call and the readers on the Scorecard

A reader’s number is the reader’s own reading of a public question, not DeepStack’s and not advice. No person named in a story is given a score here or anywhere on DeepStack. Analysis and opinion, not investment advice.